Sunday, November 8, 2015

The Gloom Continues!

I know we are all sick and tired of the clouds and rain, I just don’t see it improving until the middle of the week.

You’ll notice its MUCH cool this morning as a cold front has moved through so it feels more like fall this morning.

Here is the weather set up:

Today through Tuesday look for cloudy skies, cool temperatures and periods of rain.  It will become windy at times making it feel chilly and raw.

The cold front will stall out near the coast.  Low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico will spread moisture into the state with widespread rain developing.  It’s a strong southwest flow of warm, high moisture content in the upper atmosphere.  High pressure behind the front will help produce a northeast wind (this sets up Wedge).  Temperatures will not move much from the 50s day and night. 

Some rain will be heavy at times however, I’m forecasting that we’ll most likely see rain, showers and drizzle.  It will look and feel gross over the next few days.  The heaviest rain will be along the coast where moisture values will be higher.

The Wedge should break by midday Tuesday (maybe earlier) strong high pressure will move in by Wednesday and we’ll begin to see clearing and start some days of drying out and more sunshine.


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Sunday, November 1, 2015

More Rain Coming?

This first day in November is a taste of what’s to come this late fall into winter. 

I’m forecasting a wet period over the next several months with more than average storm systems that will move our way giving us above average chances for precipitation.  Temperatures will volley back and forth from cool to warm periods. 

Low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico will move northeast into Georgia today then through the state tonight into Monday.  The Gulf is wide open bringing deep moisture into the southeast that will allow for widespread showers and rain to develop today and Monday.

The heaviest rain will be north of us in the upstate and North Carolina (Flash Flood Watch could be issued for them later today) I’m still going to hold with my forecast from a few days ago, 1.5” to 2” possible Central/Northern Midlands, 1” or less Southern Midlands.

The complicated part (as always) is track of the system.  As of this morning the bulk of the rain remains to our north.  As the system moves north a warm front will pass through tonight, it will become breezy with southwest winds, this will allow warm and very moist air to help fuel the rain and make the atmosphere unstable enough to produce scattered thunderstorms Monday

The cold front will move through late Monday however, I still think this thing will be slow to exit so look for clouds and cool conditions Tuesday (a few showers around) things will greatly improve Wednesday – Friday.

Today:  Cloudy with periods of showers and light rain.  Highs near 70

Tonight: On and off showers and rain.  Lows middle 60s

Monday: Periods of showers and few thunderstorms, warm, breezy and humid, highs middle 70s to upper 70s.

Tuesday: Cloudy and cooler, highs upper 60s

Wednesday – Friday:  Mostly sunny, highs middle 70s, lows middle 50s

Questions?  I’d love to hear form you!

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Email: tmiller@wistv.com


***Updates this afternoon

Today's Storm Chance: