SEVERE WEATHER LIKELY TODAY AND
TONIGHT
A slow
moving cold front is off to our west and ahead of the front are small
disturbances or “shortwaves” leading to instability and forcing in the
atmosphere this will form scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms.
The past
few afternoons where most storms have been more isolated with limited “shear” (Wind shear
is a very quick change in wind speed or direction the higher you go in the atmosphere which is critical for
severe storm development) this won’t be the case today as I believe we’ll see
batches of strong to severe cells develop by late afternoon. Models are having a fun time with this
meaning they are trying to figure out a consensus with what is becoming a very
complex atmospheric environment by late in the day.
The
primary threat will damaging winds with large hail.
Storm
Prediction Center has the state under a slight risk of severe weather however,
don’t let that fool you, the opportunity for some of us to see strong storms is
likely.
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Tim Miller WIS